GBP/USD: BEARS ARE THE BOSS FOR NOW...CAN THE GDP STOP THE SLIDE...???
The
pair is trading around 1.2450, close to the two-year lows on the resurgence of
the Brexit uncertainty. The overnight comments by Irish Finance
Minister, saying that the prospect of disorderly Brexit is now a significant
risk, added to the market concerns and continued weighing on the Sterling. The
already weaker sentiment deteriorated further in the wake of the recent
disappointment from the UK macro data. On the other hand, the ongoing recovery
in the US Treasury bond yields - triggered by diminishing odds for an
aggressive Fed rate cut move later this month, underpinned the US Dollar demand
and further collaborated to the pair's slump to the lowest level since the
early-January flash crash low. Going ahead for today it will be a very busy UK
Data Docket, with most affecting of all will be the UK GDP
figures, which is widely expected to rise but will that enough to pull the
cable currency higher, that is to watch out for. on the other side, in
the North-American session, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's
congressional testimony, followed by the release of the minutes of the June
FOMC meeting will influence the USD price dynamics very heavily. Looking at the
technical picture, the pair has been trending lower along a short-term
descending trend-channel formation on the daily chart. Only a convincing
break above the 1.2500-1.2530 region may trigger a bout of short-covering
move and support prospects for additional recovery, which for now seems very
difficult.
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